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Of weather in the 1960s. Weather is a big complicated system namely the earth's atmosphere as it interacts with the land and the sun. The behavior of this big complicated system always defied understanding. So naturally we couldn't predict weather. But what the early researchers learned from computer models was that even if you could understand it you still couldn't predict it. Weather prediction is absolutely impossible. The reason is that the behavior of the system is sensitively dependent on initial conditions. " "You lost me " Gennaro said. use a cannon to fire a shell of a certain weight at a certain speed and a certain angle of inclination-and if I then fire a second shell with almost the same weight speed and angle-what well happen?" "The two shells will land at almost the same spot. " "Right " Malcolm said. "That's linear dynamics. " "Okay. " "But if I.
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